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Input from users of the guidance document was solicited at multiple points throughout the update process. California Will Experience Rising Seas and Tides, Rising Seas Threaten the California Coast in Numerous Ways, Rising Seas Threaten the California Coast in Numerous Ways. NOW AVAILABLE: Final Updated State of California Sea-Level Rise Guidance. The Guidance can also support other planning activities such as the development of Port Master Plans, Long Range Development Plans, and Public Works Plans, when taken in conjunction with relevant policies and legislation. This could lead to more prevalent incidents—particularly during high tides and storms—of raw sewage seeping into fresh groundwater aquifers or backing up into streets and homes. The Working Group integrated the latest findings from the peer-reviewed scientific literature into a science report that helped inform the guidance document update. (The researchers defined social vulnerability using a variety of indicators, including income, education level, English proficiency, age, disability status, housing status, citizenship status, and access to vehicles.). Melting ice in Antarctica and Greenland and warming sea temperatures are causing sea levels to rise rapidly around the world. For example, the state can take steps to help (1) foster regional‑scale collaboration; (2) support local planning and adaption projects; (3) provide information, assistance, and support; and (4) enhance public awareness of SLR risks and impacts. For example, a March 2020 study of SLR vulnerability in the San Francisco Bay Area found that four feet of higher water levels (either from SLR alone or in combination with periodic storm surges) would expose key transportation and commerce infrastructure in the region to flooding. Some key findings from existing research include: Important to Include SLR Preparation Activities Among the State’s Priorities. How State Agencies are Addressing Sea Level Rise in California. Sea levels show year-to-year variability, but are rising overall at these and almost all other tide gauge locations in California. Among these are the impending impacts of climate change, including the hazards that rising seas pose to California’s coast. The Working Group compiled and reviewed the latest climate research, including considering the implications of recent scientific advances on ice loss dynamics for updating sea-level rise projections. Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future explains that sea level along the U.S. west coast is affected by a number of factors. A scenario of six feet of SLR combined with a 100‑year storm increases the scope of this vulnerability to over 2,600 business establishments, which would affect 49,000 jobs, $8 billion in sales, and $6.1 billion of the county’s gross domestic product. The impacts of sea level rise in California will affect almost every facet of our natural and built environments. You can also check out this Sea Level Rise Map to see what 16” and 55” of sea level rise would look like. Given current trends in greenhouse gas emissions and increasing global temperatures, sea level rise is expected to accelerate in the coming decades, with scientists projecting as much as a 66-inch increase in sea level along segments of California's coast by the year 2100. Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future. In addition, flooding from SLR threatens several important California ports and airports—including those in Long Beach, Los Angeles, San Diego, and Oakland—that are managed by public special districts. « Older Entries. • By 2100, global temperatures may rise between 2.0° and 11.5°F • This may cause further melting of the Greenland ice sheet and other glaciers and warm the oceans resulting in a rise in sea level • Predicted sea-level rise by 2100 is between 0.6 feet and 1.9 … The California State Lands Commission, which manages and leases California’s tidelands and submerged lands, wanted to help coastal communities prepare for rising seas. The study found that “these contaminants can potentially affect soil, sediments, sediment vapor, groundwater, or surface water.”. 2020. California’s Climate Change Assessments contribute to the scientific foundation for understanding local scale climate-related vulnerability and informing resilience actions, for the energy sector and other areas, providing policies, strategies, and guidance, to promote effective and integrated action to safeguard California from climate change. A 2009 study found that flooding from four and a half feet of rising seas combined with a 100‑year storm in California would affect 56,000 people who earn less than $30,000 annually, 45,000 renters, and 4,700 individuals who are linguistically isolated and less likely to understand flood warnings. In February through April 2017, an Engagement Team led by Susanne Moser Research & Consulting and Climate Access, a not-for-profit organization, conducted interviews and listening sessions to better understand the needs of those who will use the guidance document. Gillett, E.D. It would also create the California Sea Level Rise State and Regional Support Collaborative to aid in helping coastal communities deal with the crisis. Examples of publicly owned infrastructure located along the coast include water treatment plants, roads and highways, railways, piers and marinas, and public recreational trails. The erosion of coastal cliffs in California is already beginning to cause transportation disruptions. February – April 2017: State agency, local government and stakeholder engagement: interviews and five listening sessions. The natural processes triggered by rising sea levels and coastal storms will affect both human and natural resources along the coast. The state, coastal communities, and private property owners essentially have three categories of strategies for responding to the threat that SLR poses to assets such as buildings, other infrastructure, beaches, and wetlands. The San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission has begun organizing one such effort in the Bay Area region, through its Bay Adapt regional strategy initiative. Policies on hazard avoidance and coastal resource protection provide the basis for the Commission to consider the impacts of sea level rise. “Natural infrastructure” can be used to … Register for the online event here, and join in at 11am to hear from speakers like Chris Choo from the Marin County Dept. The latest science predicts that sea level rise will occur at different rates in different places throughout the west coast of the United States. The danger lies in underestimating the growing threat of sea level rise. The potential impacts of SLR could have negative impacts on the economy and tax base—both locally and statewide—if significant damage occurs to certain key coastal infrastructure and other assets. Climate scientists have developed a consensus that one of the effects of a warming planet is that global sea levels will rise. After an initial round of 25 one-on-one interviews, 5 listening sessions were conducted to learn more from a wider set of stakeholders. Approved in September 2014, AB2516 establishes a new database for California that will provide information on sea level rise planning activities to support coordination, collaboration and prevent redundancy across named entities. The figure shows the station's annual mean relative sea level with its six regionalized sea level rise scenarios plotted relative to a 1991-2009 baseline period (i.e., year 2000 is the 'zero' for the figure) as described in the report on Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States. Coastal: Sea Level Rise. Changes in RSL, either a rise or fall, have been computed at 142 long-term water level stations using a minimum span of 30 years of observations at each location. California offers a good example of how much sea level can vary on a local scale. Developing a thorough understanding of the possible impacts associated with rising seas is an essential first step for the Legislature in determining how to prioritize efforts to help mitigate potential damage and disruption. Found insideThis book lays out the consequences of our tendency to wall up the coast and what we might do to reverse the trend. A most thorough, alarming and compelling tale of what is happening to our shoreline. Will policy makers listen? Together, the California State University Council on Ocean Affairs, Science and Technology (COAST) and California Sea Grant, have awarded $1.1 million to support sea-level rise research through COAST’s State Science Information Needs Program (SSINP).Three awards will support 11 researchers and over 20 students at six different CSU campuses. Just two years ago, the state of California established guidance projecting seas would rise between 8 inches and 2.6 feet in Los Angeles by 2050. In California, emergency services agencies are pretty savvy on the threats posed by sea level rise…” The Coastal Storm Modeling System (CSMS) used for the projections in the USGS report “was designed to thoroughly assess future coastal flooding exposure by integrating SLR (sea level rise), dynamic water levels and coastal change.” Found insideThis book also explores the drivers of CaliforniaÕs ecological patterns and the history of the stateÕs various ecosystems, outlining how the challenges of climate change and invasive species and opportunities for regulation and ... example, projects an additional sea level rise of as much as 3 feet by 2100, depending on what happens to the great ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland (DeConto & Pollard, 2016). These include: climate patterns such as the El Nino, effects from the melting of modern and ancient ice sheets, and geologic processes, such as plate tectonics. By 2050, sea-level rise will push average annual coastal floods higher than land now home to 300 million people, according to a study published … The book explores the role of federal flood insurance and disaster relief in shaping adaptation decisions, presents case studies from states, and concludes with a high-level overview of some of the unique challenges faced by corporations ... Along the ~1350-km California coastline, records of high-resolution vertical land motion rates are scarce due to sparse instrumentation, and hazards to coastal communities are underestimated. In the other half of the cycle, tides are amplified: High tides get higher, and low tides get lower. Natural Infrastructure for Coastal Adaptation to Sea Level Rise. This volume explores the concepts of sea-level rise and coastal subsidence, both natural and anthropogenically accelerated, in the form of a series of case studies in such diverse locations as Bangkok, Bangladesh, Venice, and the Niger and ... ACR 77, as introduced, Bennett. When adding the potential impacts of a 100‑year storm—a storm with a one‑in‑100 likelihood of occurring in a given year—these estimates increase to 600,000 people and over $150 billion of property value. For example, according to California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, the state’s ports were the destination for $350 billion in goods imported to the U.S. in 2016—by far the largest of any state. Overview. The California Natural Resources Agency, in coordination with other state agencies, has released an update to its 2009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy, which augments previously identified adaptation strategies in light of advances in climate science and risk management options. Higher sea levels pushing into the Delta from the ocean through the San Francisco Bay, however, will place more pressure on those levees. Seas Will Rise in Coming Decades. Scientists say sea level rise will accelerate cliff retreat, doubling average erosion rates in southern California by 2100, including some … Higher sea levels will also cause salt water to encroach into—thereby degrading—coastal estuaries where fish and wildlife currently depend upon freshwater conditions. Gavin Newsom stays in office Associated Press - By KATHLEEN RONAYNE and MICHAEL R. BLOOD • 1d SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — California Gov. Sea level has risen by about 180 millimeters (mm) (7 inches) since the year 1900 at San Francisco and by about 150 mm (6 inches) since 1924 at La Jolla. Drinking and agricultural water supplies. The degree and timing of SLR, however, still is uncertain, and depends in part upon how much global greenhouse gas emissions and temperatures continue to increase. As illustrated in Figure 2, in some areas rising sea levels are likely to push saltwater up into these groundwater basins, thereby degrading key fresh water resources. This could contaminate the fresh river water supplies that currently pass through the Delta into the State Water Project’s pumps and canals. The magnitude of the potential impacts, however, mean that the state cannot afford to indefinitely delay taking steps to prepare. Liz Whiteman, Director of Science & Strategy, Ocean Science Trust; liz.whiteman@oceansciencetrust.org, Project Summary (one-pager) Tide gauges show that global sea level has risen about 7 inches during the 20th century, and recent satellite data show that the rate of sea-level rise is accelerating. Planning for Sea Level Rise. With 6.6 feet of sea-level rise, 600,000 people in the state and $200 billion of property would be in jeopardy from overland flooding during a … These sites contain 68 different contaminants of concern, including various metals, corrosive materials, petroleum products, volatile organics, and pesticides. McCune, K., D.J. The magnitude of the risks described in this report highlight the importance of California including SLR preparation activities among its many pressing priorities. (The study did not consider the potential compounding impacts of groundwater flooding.) This threatens to impair or eliminate important habitats for fish, plants, marine mammals, and migratory birds. Scientific estimates suggest the magnitude of sea‑level rise (SLR) in California could be at least half of one foot in 2030 and as much as seven feet by 2100. The Sea Level Rise Mitigation and Adaptation Act, introduced in December 2020, would mandate the California Coastal Commission to include sea level rise in … Additionally, in coastal communities where the underground water table is already close to the land surface, higher ocean water levels could also force up the water levels underneath the ground, leading to flooding. The updated guidance document will also assist state agencies prepare for, and adapt to climate change, as directed by Governor Brown’s recent Executive Order. These data illustrate potential flooding from future sea level rise—from current mean higher high water to a six-foot rise. Specifically, waves crashing comparatively further up the shore will erode sand away from coastal cliff walls and beaches. With 6.6 feet of sea-level rise, 600,000 people in the state and $200 billion of property would be in jeopardy from overland flooding during a … Is sea level rising in California? Second, SLR could impair one of the state’s key water conveyance systems. Millions of California residents visit the coast annually to fish, swim, surf, and enjoy nature, particularly along the one‑third of the coastline owned by the State Park system. The Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services has been measuring sea level for over 150 years, with tide stations of the National Water Level Observation Network operating on all U.S. coasts. Specifically, they can (1) protect, by building hard or soft barriers to try to stop or buffer the encroaching water and keep the assets from flooding; (2) accommodate, by modifying the assets so that they can manage regular or periodic flooding; or (3) relocate, by moving assets from the potential flood zone to higher ground or further inland. The three selected … Rising Sea Levels Will Hit California Harder Than Other Places. For additional details, continual updates on the guidance document process, and opportunities for stakeholder input: Jenn Eckerle, Deputy Director, Ocean Protection Council; jenn.eckerle@resources.ca.gov Local farmers and water agencies pull water from the Delta, as does DWR. This report describes available research on how rising seas threaten California’s coast in seven categories: public infrastructure, private property, vulnerable communities, natural resources, drinking and agricultural water supplies, toxic contamination, and economic disruption. These workshops took place in San Diego, Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Eureka, and public input on the guidance framework helped shape the updated draft policy guidance document. Sea-Level Rise (SLR) California Faces the Threat of Extensive and Expensive SLR Impacts. South of that point, sea-level rise is expected to be very Additionally, water infiltrating upward may flow through hazardous contaminants currently buried in the soil and carry them toward the surface, thereby distributing pollutants into fresh groundwater supplies and surface soils, as well into stormwater runoff that flows through local streets and fields. Sea level rise is changing California’s coast. There’s also a wide forecast when it comes to how much water San Diego will have to wrangle. Coastal communities across the state are experiencing the effects of sea-level rise, including high tides, strong storm surges, … Moreover, a recent study by researchers from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) estimated that by 2100, roughly six feet of SLR and recurring annual storms could impact over 480,000 California residents (based on 2010 census data) and $119 billion in property value (in 2010 dollars). IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projection Tool. Sea-level rise may worsen existing Bay Area inequities Researchers examined the number of households unable to pay for damages from coastal flooding to reveal how sea-level rise could threaten the fabric of Bay Area communities over the next 40 years. Moreover, the recent economic downturn complicates SLR preparation efforts, as fiscal resources are more limited at both the state and local levels. State of California Sea-Level Rise Guidance: 2018 Update. Increased coastal flooding from encroaching seas and waves—in the form of both permanent inundation and episodic events caused by storms—is the most commonly referenced SLR risk. California relies on a multi-modal transportation network that supports nearly all aspects of our coastal economies—including tourism, agriculture, and coastal dependent industries—as well as the quality of life enjoyed by our citizens. Moreover, the potential erosion of beaches associated with SLR would impact not only Californians’ access to and enjoyment of key public resources, but also beach‑dependent local economies. Storms and Future Climate Impacts Could Raise Water Levels Further. For example, research on the potential economic impacts of SLR specific to the San Diego region found that the tourism and recreation industries face the greatest vulnerabilities. Accessibility To the degree local property tax revenues drop, this also could affect the state budget in some years because the California Constitution could require that losses in certain local property tax revenues used to support local schools be backfilled by the state’s General Fund. Contaminated lands located along the coast and bay at risk of both surface and groundwater flooding include active and closed landfills, as well as “brownfields” which are undergoing or require cleanup—such as federal Superfund sites, military cleanup sites, and California Department of Toxic Substances Control sites. For more information, visit OPC's website. Found insideFINALIST FOR THE PULITZER PRIZE IN GENERAL NONFICTION WINNER OF THE NATIONAL OUTDOOR BOOK AWARD A CHICAGO TRIBUNE TOP TEN BOOK OF 2018 A PUBLISHERS WEEKLY AND LIBRARY JOURNAL BEST BOOK OF 2018 Hailed as “deeply felt” (New York Times), ... The shade of blue indicates the depth of the water at a high tide. (The figure displays data for the San Diego region, but estimates are similar for other areas of the California coast.) Approved in September 2014, AB2516 establishes a new database for California that will provide information on sea level rise planning activities to support coordination, collaboration and prevent redundancy across named entities. Natural flooding, erosion, and storm event patterns are likely to be exacerbated by sea level rise, leading to significant social, environmental, and economic impacts. By 2050, sea-level rise will push average annual coastal floods higher than land now home to 300 million people, according to a study published … " This is a forward-looking volume offering new insights for policymakers, planners, business leaders preparing for the changes coming to America's coast. First, SLR may cause salty sea water to contaminate certain fresh groundwater supplies. Among Its Other Challenges, California Continues to Face the Looming Impacts of Climate Change and Rising Seas. The public comment period on the draft Guidance was open from November 15, 2017 through December 15, 2017. What Threat Does Sea-Level Rise Pose to California? Climate assessment activities are increasingly driven by subnational organizationsâ€"city, county, and state governments; utilities and private companies; and stakeholder groups and engaged publicsâ€"trying to better serve their ... Specifically, in areas where underground sea water pushes the water table up towards—or above—the ground surface, water could also damage and intrude into underground sewer pipes and systems. This will require the state to direct greater flows of fresh river water to “push back” on those tides in order keep saltwater away from the conveyance pumps located at the southern end of the Delta. If we want to protect what remains of our iconic coastline, we need to safeguard the coast of tomorrow. Commission staff contributes to state and regional efforts to prepare and adapt to sea-level rise. In addition to buildings and infrastructure, SLR also poses a threat to ecological resources across the state. The overall purpose and goal of this examination is to critically analyze how local governments are attempting to address the impacts of sea-level rise, what "adaptive practice" scenarios are local governments employing, and community ... This new volume explores current views among scientists on the causes and mechanisms of sea-level change. Four feet of higher water levels would cause daily flooding for nearly 28,000 socially vulnerable residents in the San Francisco Bay Area region. These impacts have the potential to be both extensive and expensive. General. “Sea-level rise is a slow-moving challenge for Southern California,” he said. Through its Sea Level Rise Policy Guidance and ancillary efforts, the Coastal Commission advances, supports, and helps to fund California's preparation for these critical challenges to ensure a resilient coast for present and future generations. Varies from 3 meters to 10 meters. But even as the sea takes up more space, the elevation of the land is also changing relative to the sea. The update to the Guidance was developed by the California Ocean Protection Council (OPC), in coordination with the California Natural Resources Agency, the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research, and the California Energy Commission. The Commission has long considered sea level rise, erosion rates, and other effects of a dynamic climate in its analysis of permits and LCPs, staff recommendations, and Commission decisions. Flooding has the potential to inundate coastal beaches, dunes, and wetlands. Additionally, even if levees remain undamaged, SLR will on the natural bring salty tides further into the Delta estuary. Hourly projections of sea Researchers found that 15 wastewater treatment plants in California will be exposed to flooding with three feet of SLR, growing to 36 facilities with six feet of SLR. Specifically, both houses and businesses located along the coast face the threat of increased flooding, and those in cliff‑side locations face damage from eroding bluffs. Each listening session was oriented toward a particular set of planners and managers and focused on support for planning and decision-making processes, governmental coordination, dealing with uncertainty and trade-offs, and engagement needs. SB 1, as amended, Atkins. Sea-level rise in California could be catastrophic, study says. California’s coast could experience SLR ranging from about half of 1 foot by 2030 up to about 7 feet by 2100. In addition to publicly owned assets, private property is also threatened by the effects of SLR. Staff is a member of several interagency workgroups and initiatives, including the Coastal and Ocean Resources Working Group for the Climate Action Team, the State Coastal Leadership Group on Sea-Level Rise, and the California Collaborative on Coastal Resilience. Coastal Adaptation Activities Can Help Lessen SLR Impacts. The Working Group included subject-matter experts in coastal processes, risk assessment, climatic change, ice loss and ice sheet behavior, and statistical modeling. Waiting too long to initiate adaptation efforts likely will make responding effectively more difficult and costly. AB2516 (Gordon) Establishes a Planning for Sea Level Rise Database for California. SACRAMENTO – Senate President pro Tempore Toni G. Atkins (D-San Diego) today presented SB 1, a landmark bill to help California address the impacts of sea level rise, to the Senate Committee on Natural Resources and Water, which approved the bill in a 7-2 vote. While the risks California faces from SLR are great, the state and local governments can take steps to prepare for and help mitigate against potential impacts. Sea-Level Rise. A recent report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change found the likely range was between 1.5 and 2.8 feet globally—but for the year 2100, not 2050. This report is intended to help the Legislature and the public deepen their knowledge of the threats that California faces from SLR. Barnard said the impact from a combined sea-level rise and storm event will be many times greater than the worst natural disasters in California… Mapping confidence layers highlight errors related to elevation and water height data. Based on its 2011 State Sea-Level Rise Resolution, the Ocean Protection Council has updated its interim Guidance document for addressing sea level rise in the State of California to include the best current science. In a set of targets guided by Gov. Global sea level rise pushes high tides in only one direction – higher. • By 2100, global temperatures may rise between 2.0° and 11.5°F • This may cause further melting of the Greenland ice sheet and other glaciers and warm the oceans resulting in a rise in sea level • Predicted sea-level rise by 2100 is between 0.6 feet and 1.9 … Those who will be affected include renters (who are less able to prepare their residences for flood events), individuals not proficient in English (who may not be able to access critical information about potential SLR impacts), residents with no vehicle (who may find it more difficult to evacuate), and residents with lower incomes (who have fewer resources upon which to rely to prepare for, respond to, and recover from flood events). Select Committee on Sea Level Rise and the California Economy. Science has shown that the changing climate will result in a gradual and permanent rise in global sea levels. Learn about sea level rise science, its physical impacts, and their conseqences for coastal resources and communities, Visualize the steps for adressing Sea Level Rise in Local Coastal Programs & Coastal Development Permits, Learn about vulnerabilities to sea level rise and adaptation strategies to incorporate in Local Coastal Programs & Coastal Development Permits, Access a collection videos, documents, tools, and other materials about sea level rise. Commission staff continue to work on the Draft Guidance (dated March 2018) and have also begun development of a companion guidance document specific to critical infrastructure as a type of development to consider for adaptation planning. Found inside – Page iThis is a must-read for all of us working toward an ocean ecosystem that we would want to hand off to future generations."—John Laird, California Secretary for Natural Resources and Chair of the Ocean Protection Council "All around the ... Methods and Guidance on Assessing the Ecological Functioning of Submerged Aquatic Vegetation in Southern California Estuaries and Embayments. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding Impacts data viewer provides a preliminary look at how different amounts of sea level rise would affect coastal flooding in the United States. A different study conducted in 2018 estimated potential impacts from SLR on wastewater infrastructure along the coast. A slow-moving emergency is lapping at California’s shores— climate-driven sea-level rise that experts now predict could elevate the water in … Click to request an ADA compliant copy of documents or reportsPlease include day, month, year and item number, Conditions of Use — Although much of the work to prepare for the impacts of SLR needs to take place at the local level, the state can help. Local farmers and water agencies pull water from the Delta, as does DWR. General. 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